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两独立样本均值非劣效检验

对于高优指标(\(\delta < 0\)),统计学假设如下:

\[ \begin{align} H_0 &: \mu_1 - \mu_2 \le \delta \\ H_1 &: \mu_1 - \mu_2 \gt \delta \end{align} \]

对于低优指标(\(\delta > 0\)),统计学假设如下:

\[ \begin{align} H_0 &: \mu_1 - \mu_2 \ge \delta \\ H_1 &: \mu_1 - \mu_2 \lt \delta \end{align} \]

\(\delta\) 为非劣效界值,两样本均值分别用 \(\hat{\mu}_1\)\(\hat{\mu}_2\) 表示,两样本方差分别用 \(S_1\)\(S_2\) 表示。

\[ E(\hat{\mu}_1 - \hat{\mu}_2) = \mu_1 - \mu_2, \ \ Var(\hat{\mu}_1 - \hat{\mu}_2) = \frac{S_1^2}{n_1} + \frac{S_2^2}{n_2} \]

以下推导过程在边界条件 \(\mu_1 - \mu_2 = \delta\) 下进行。

Z 检验

大样本时,可使用 \(Z\) 检验进行推导。

方差相等

\(H_0\) 成立时,可构建 \(Z\) 统计量:

\[ Z = \frac{\hat{\mu}_1 - \hat{\mu}_2 - \delta}{\sigma\sqrt{\frac{1}{n_1} + \frac{1}{n_2}}} \sim N(0, 1) \]

\(H_1\) 成立时,可构建 \(Z'\) 统计量:

\[ Z' = \frac{\hat{\mu}_1 - \hat{\mu}_2 - \delta}{\sigma\sqrt{\frac{1}{n_1} + \frac{1}{n_2}}} \sim N\left(\frac{\mu_1 - \mu_2 - \delta}{\sigma\sqrt{\frac{1}{n_1} + \frac{1}{n_2}}}, 1\right) \]
\[ Power = P\left(Z' > z_{1-\alpha}\right) = 1 - \Phi\left(z_{1-\alpha} - \frac{\mu_1 - \mu_2 - \delta}{\sigma\sqrt{\frac{1}{n_1} + \frac{1}{n_2}}}\right) \]
\[ Power = P\left(Z' < z_{\alpha}\right) = \Phi\left(z_{\alpha} - \frac{\mu_1 - \mu_2 - \delta}{\sigma\sqrt{\frac{1}{n_1} + \frac{1}{n_2}}}\right) = 1 - \Phi\left(z_{1-\alpha} + \frac{\mu_1 - \mu_2 - \delta}{\sigma\sqrt{\frac{1}{n_1} + \frac{1}{n_2}}}\right) \]

\(H_1\) 成立时:

\(\delta < 0\),则 \(\mu_1 - \mu_2 - \delta > 0\)

\(\delta > 0\),则 \(\mu_1 - \mu_2 - \delta < 0\)

\[ Power = 1 - \Phi\left(z_{1-\alpha} - \frac{\left|\mu_1 - \mu_2 - \delta\right|}{\sigma\sqrt{\frac{1}{n_1} + \frac{1}{n_2}}}\right) \]
样本量公式推导

根据标准正态分布分位数的定义:

\[ z_{1-\alpha} - \frac{\left|\mu_1 - \mu_2 - \delta\right|}{\sigma\sqrt{\frac{1}{n_1} + \frac{1}{n_2}}} = z_\beta \]

\(n_1 = kn_2\),由上式可解出

\[ n_2 = \frac{\left(z_{1-\alpha} + z_{1-\beta}\right)^2 \sigma^2 \left(\frac{1}{k} + 1\right)}{\left(\mu_1 - \mu_2 - \delta\right)^2} \]
\[ n_1 = k n_2 \]

方差不相等

\(H_0\) 成立时,可构建 \(Z\) 统计量:

\[ Z = \frac{\hat{\mu}_1 - \hat{\mu}_2 - \delta}{\sqrt{\frac{\sigma_1^2}{n_1} + \frac{\sigma_2^2}{n_2}}} \sim N(0, 1) \]

\(H_1\) 成立时,可构建 \(Z'\) 统计量:

\[ Z' = \frac{\hat{\mu}_1 - \hat{\mu}_2 - \delta}{\sqrt{\frac{\sigma_1^2}{n_1} + \frac{\sigma_2^2}{n_2}}} \sim N\left(\frac{\mu_1 - \mu_2 - \delta}{\sqrt{\frac{\sigma_1^2}{n_1} + \frac{\sigma_2^2}{n_2}}}, 1\right) \]
\[ Power = P\left(Z' > z_{1-\alpha}\right) = 1 - \Phi\left(z_{1-\alpha} - \frac{\mu_1 - \mu_2 - \delta}{\sqrt{\frac{\sigma_1^2}{n_1} + \frac{\sigma_2^2}{n_2}}}\right) \]
\[ Power = P\left(Z' < z_{\alpha}\right) = \Phi\left(z_{\alpha} - \frac{\mu_1 - \mu_2 - \delta}{\sqrt{\frac{\sigma_1^2}{n_1} + \frac{\sigma_2^2}{n_2}}}\right) = 1 - \Phi\left(z_{1-\alpha} + \frac{\mu_1 - \mu_2 - \delta}{\sqrt{\frac{\sigma_1^2}{n_1} + \frac{\sigma_2^2}{n_2}}}\right) \]

\(H_1\) 成立时:

\(\delta < 0\),则 \(\mu_1 - \mu_2 - \delta > 0\)

\(\delta > 0\),则 \(\mu_1 - \mu_2 - \delta < 0\)

\[ Power = 1 - \Phi\left(z_{1-\alpha} - \frac{\left|\mu_1 - \mu_2 - \delta\right|}{\sqrt{\frac{\sigma_1^2}{n_1} + \frac{\sigma_2^2}{n_2}}}\right) \]
样本量公式推导

根据标准正态分布分位数的定义:

\[ z_{1-\alpha} - \frac{\left|\mu_1 - \mu_2 - \delta\right|}{\sqrt{\frac{\sigma_1^2}{n_1} + \frac{\sigma_2^2}{n_2}}} = z_\beta \]

\(n_1 = kn_2\),由上式可解出

\[ n_2 = \frac{\left(z_{1-\alpha} + z_{1-\beta}\right)^2 \left(\frac{\sigma_1^2}{k} + \sigma_2^2\right)}{\left(\mu_1 - \mu_2 - \delta\right)^2} \]
\[ n_1 = k n_2 \]

t 检验

小样本时,可使用 \(t\) 检验进行推导。

方差相等

当两总体方差相等时,即 \(\sigma_1^2 = \sigma_2^2\) 时,可将样本方差合并,计算合并方差 \(S_c^2\)

\[ S_c^2 = \frac{(n_1 - 1)S_1^2 + (n_2 - 1)S_2^2}{n_1 + n_2 - 2} \]

\(H_0\) 成立时,可构建 \(T\) 统计量:

\[ T = \frac{\hat{\mu}_1 - \hat{\mu}_2 - \delta}{S_c\sqrt{\frac{1}{n_1} + \frac{1}{n_2}}} \sim t(n_1 + n_2 - 2) \]

\(H_1\) 成立时,可构建 \(T'\) 统计量:

\[ T' = \frac{\hat{\mu}_1 - \hat{\mu}_2 - \delta}{S_c\sqrt{\frac{1}{n_1} + \frac{1}{n_2}}} \sim t\left(n_1 + n_2 - 2, \frac{\mu_1 - \mu_2 - \delta}{S_c\sqrt{\frac{1}{n_1} + \frac{1}{n_2}}}\right) \]

\(F(x;v,\lambda)\) 为自由度为 \(v\)、非中心参数为 \(\lambda\) 的非中心 \(t\) 分布的累积分布函数。

\[ Power = P\left(T' > t_{1-\alpha}\right) = 1 - F\left(t_{1-\alpha, n_1 + n_2 - 2}; n_1 + n_2 - 2, \frac{\mu_1 - \mu_2 - \delta}{S_c\sqrt{\frac{1}{n_1} + \frac{1}{n_2}}}\right) \]
\[ Power = P\left(T' < t_{\alpha}\right) = F\left(t_{\alpha, n_1 + n_2 - 2}; n_1 + n_2 - 2, \frac{\mu_1 - \mu_2 - \delta}{S_c\sqrt{\frac{1}{n_1} + \frac{1}{n_2}}}\right) \]

方差不相等

当两总体方差不相等时,即 \(\sigma_1^2 \ne \sigma_2^2\) 时,可使用以下近似 \(t\) 检验进行推导。

Welch 近似 t 检验

\(H_0\) 成立时,可构建 \(T\) 统计量:

\[ T = \frac{\hat{\mu}_1 - \hat{\mu}_2 - \delta}{\sqrt{\frac{S_1^2}{n_1} + \frac{S_2^2}{n_2}}} \sim t(v') \]

其中:

\[ v' = \frac{\left(\frac{S_1^2}{n_1} + \frac{S_2^2}{n_2}\right)^2}{\frac{S_1^4}{n_1^2(n_1 + 1)} + \frac{S_2^4}{n_2^2(n_2 + 1)}} - 2 \]

\(H_1\) 成立时,可构建 \(T'\) 统计量:

\[ T' = \frac{\hat{\mu}_1 - \hat{\mu}_2 - \delta}{\sqrt{\frac{S_1^2}{n_1} + \frac{S_2^2}{n_2}}} \sim t\left(v', \frac{\mu_1 - \mu_2 - \delta}{\sqrt{\frac{S_1^2}{n_1} + \frac{S_2^2}{n_2}}}\right) \]

\(F(x;v,\lambda)\) 为自由度为 \(v\)、非中心参数为 \(\lambda\) 的非中心 \(t\) 分布的累积分布函数。

\[ Power = P\left(T' > t_{1-\alpha}\right) = 1 - F\left(t_{1-\alpha, v'}; v', \frac{\mu_1 - \mu_2 - \delta}{\sqrt{\frac{S_1^2}{n_1} + \frac{S_2^2}{n_2}}}\right) \]
\[ Power = P\left(T' < t_{\alpha}\right) = F\left(t_{\alpha, v'}; v', \frac{\mu_1 - \mu_2 - \delta}{\sqrt{\frac{S_1^2}{n_1} + \frac{S_2^2}{n_2}}}\right) \]

Satterthwaite 近似 t 检验

\(H_0\) 成立时,可构建 \(T\) 统计量:

\[ T = \frac{\hat{\mu}_1 - \hat{\mu}_2 - \delta}{\sqrt{\frac{S_1^2}{n_1} + \frac{S_2^2}{n_2}}} \sim t(v') \]

其中:

\[ v' = \frac{\left(\frac{S_1^2}{n_1} + \frac{S_2^2}{n_2}\right)^2}{\frac{S_1^4}{n_1^2(n_1 - 1)} + \frac{S_2^4}{n_2^2(n_2 - 1)}} \]

\(H_1\) 成立时,可构建 \(T'\) 统计量:

\[ T' = \frac{\hat{\mu}_1 - \hat{\mu}_2 - \delta}{\sqrt{\frac{S_1^2}{n_1} + \frac{S_2^2}{n_2}}} \sim t\left(v', \frac{\mu_1 - \mu_2 - \delta}{\sqrt{\frac{S_1^2}{n_1} + \frac{S_2^2}{n_2}}}\right) \]

\(F(x;v,\lambda)\) 为自由度为 \(v\)、非中心参数为 \(\lambda\) 的非中心 \(t\) 分布的累积分布函数。

\[ Power = P\left(T' > t_{1-\alpha}\right) = 1 - F\left(t_{1-\alpha, v'}; v', \frac{\mu_1 - \mu_2 - \delta}{\sqrt{\frac{S_1^2}{n_1} + \frac{S_2^2}{n_2}}}\right) \]
\[ Power = P\left(T' < t_{\alpha}\right) = F\left(t_{\alpha, v'}; v', \frac{\mu_1 - \mu_2 - \delta}{\sqrt{\frac{S_1^2}{n_1} + \frac{S_2^2}{n_2}}}\right) \]